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Modelon AB (OSTO:MODEL B) Beneish M-Score : -0.27 (As of Jun. 25, 2024)


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What is Modelon AB Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -0.27 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Modelon AB's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

OSTO:MODEL B' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -6.13   Med: -2.54   Max: -0.27
Current: -0.27

During the past 5 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Modelon AB was -0.27. The lowest was -6.13. And the median was -2.54.


Modelon AB Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Modelon AB's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Modelon AB Beneish M-Score Chart

Modelon AB Annual Data
Trend Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
- - - -3.07 -1.88

Modelon AB Quarterly Data
Dec19 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.83 -2.43 -2.64 -1.88 -0.27

Competitive Comparison of Modelon AB's Beneish M-Score

For the Software - Application subindustry, Modelon AB's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Modelon AB's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Modelon AB's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Modelon AB's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Modelon AB Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Modelon AB for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8607+0.528 * 4.5542+0.404 * 1.6384+0.892 * 1.1683+0.115 * 0.9092
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0+4.679 * 0.031534-0.327 * 1.7766
=-0.27

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was kr18.00 Mil.
Revenue was 18.3 + 20.695 + 19.1 + 21.1 = kr79.20 Mil.
Gross Profit was -2.6 + -1.371 + 0 + -0.6 = kr-4.57 Mil.
Total Current Assets was kr73.00 Mil.
Total Assets was kr91.90 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was kr2.50 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was kr1.04 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was kr0.00 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was kr36.90 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was kr0.00 Mil.
Net Income was -14.2 + -13.403 + -11.6 + -12.4 = kr-51.60 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = kr0.00 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -4.1 + -18.701 + -11.9 + -19.8 = kr-54.50 Mil.
Total Receivables was kr17.90 Mil.
Revenue was 18 + 18.585 + 16.1 + 15.1 = kr67.79 Mil.
Gross Profit was -5.5 + -3.418 + -3.7 + -5.2 = kr-17.82 Mil.
Total Current Assets was kr127.80 Mil.
Total Assets was kr146.90 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was kr3.10 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was kr1.13 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was kr11.70 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was kr33.20 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was kr0.00 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(18 / 79.195) / (17.9 / 67.785)
=0.227287 / 0.26407
=0.8607

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(-17.818 / 67.785) / (-4.571 / 79.195)
=-0.262861 / -0.057718
=4.5542

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (73 + 2.5) / 91.9) / (1 - (127.8 + 3.1) / 146.9)
=0.178455 / 0.108918
=1.6384

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=79.195 / 67.785
=1.1683

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1.132 / (1.132 + 3.1)) / (1.042 / (1.042 + 2.5))
=0.267486 / 0.294184
=0.9092

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 79.195) / (11.7 / 67.785)
=0 / 0.172605
=0

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((0 + 36.9) / 91.9) / ((0 + 33.2) / 146.9)
=0.401523 / 0.226004
=1.7766

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-51.603 - 0 - -54.501) / 91.9
=0.031534

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Modelon AB has a M-score of -0.27 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Modelon AB Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Modelon AB (OSTO:MODEL B) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Scheelevagen 17, Ideon Science Park, Lund, SWE, SE-223 70
Modelon AB offers systems modeling and simulation software that accelerates product innovation, development, and operations in a range of industries. The company's flagship product, Modelon Impact, is a cloud-native system simulation software platform featuring a collaborative browser-based interface and thousands of models and components spanning a broad range of applications.

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